Monday I took a look at what the odds of various players being claimed on waivers have been over the past two seasons based on positions, which of course is relevant with roster cuts for the Seattle Seahawks, and the 31 other NFL clubs, set for Saturday at 4 PM New York Time. The framing of the story was around the hypothetical of whether or not the Hawks would rather risk potentially losing John Ursua or Jazz Ferguson on a waiver claim by another team, however, the truth of the matter is that it is irrelevant.
The simple fact of the matter is that NFL offenses are extremely intricate and complex, and it’s difficult for a veteran to be able to join a new team and know their responsibilities immediately as a receiver, much less for a rookie with zero regular season snaps. Now, before anyone jumps in and tells me how polished and NFL ready the Seattle rookie receivers are, I don’t care because that’s not where this is going. Where this is going is the simple fact that there’s a very easy to recognize pattern among wide receivers who are claimed on waivers after not making past the cut to the 53 for the team they went through training camp.
Without beating around the Bush, here’s some additional data I conveniently left out yesterday in order to foster a healthy debate. Now we can have the same debate with this easy to spot trend noted. In any case, here are the nine wide receivers that I noted in the article had been claimed after being waived in cuts to 53 with one important piece which I omitted yesterday added back in.
- Tre McBride, Claimed by Chicago Bears: 9/3/2017; Waived by Bears: 9/23/2017
- Reggie Davis, Claimed by Cleveland Browns: 9/3/2017; Waived by Browns: 9/22/2017
- Kasen Williams, Claimed by Cleveland Browns: 9/3/2017; Waived by Browns: 11/16/2017
- Andy Jones, Claimed by Houston Texans: 9/3/2017; Waived by Texans: 9/13/2017
- Matt Hazel, Claimed by Indianapolis Colts: 9/3/2017; Waived by Colts: 9/16/2017
- Tanner McEvoy, Claimed by Miami Dolphins: 9/2/2018; Waived by Dolphins: 9/25/2018
- Amara Darboh, Claimed by New England Patriots: 9/2/2018; Waived by Patriots: 9/4/2018
- Kaelin Clay: Claimed by New York Giants: 9/2/2018; Waived/Injured by Giants: 9/25/2018
- Chad Hansen, Claimed by New England Patriots: 9/2/208; Waived by Patriots: 9/10/2018
In short, every single wide receiver who has been claimed by another team after not making the cut to the 53 on cut down day the past two years has been waived again prior to the end of the season. In fact, Kasen Williams was the only one of these players to last more than three and a half weeks with their new teams.
Basically, it doesn’t matter if a receiver doesn’t make it through waivers because the odds are overwhelmingly in favor of a player who is waived ending up back on the waiver wire again during the season. So, while fans will certainly fret the potential loss of their favored receiver, whether it’s Ursua, Ferguson, Gary Jennings or any of the other vying for a spot on the roster, history shows that it’s not something worth worrying about because if the team really wants the player, they’ll be able to get them back in the future.