The Tennessee Titans will try to continue their upward trend under second-year coach Mike Vrabel when they visit the New England Patriots in a Wild-Card matchup on Saturday. The Titans (9-7) are 18-14 under Vrabel and have secured their seventh winning season since 2007, while the Patriots (12-4), who are 6-2 at Gillette Stadium, have outscored their opponents 420-225, an average of 26.3 to 14.1. The second game of the NFL Playoffs 2020 will kick off at 8:15 p.m. ET.
The Patriots set a franchise record for fewest points allowed in a 16-game season. Accordingly, New England is a 4.5-point favorite in the latest Patriots vs. Titans odds, while the over-under is 45 after the total opened at 43.5. Before making any Titans vs. Patriots picks, check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception four-plus years ago. It has nailed its recent top-rated NFL picks, entering Wild Card Weekend of the 2019-20 NFL playoffs on a strong 34-22 run that dates back to last season. It’s also on an incredible 96-65 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch the past three years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players last season. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Patriots vs. Titans. We can tell you that the model is leaning under, and it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. Visit SportsLine to see the pick. Now, here are the NFL betting lines and trends for Titans vs. Patriots:
- Patriots vs. Titans spread: Patriots -4.5
- Patriots vs. Titans over-under: 45 points
- Patriots vs. Titans money line: Titans +183, Patriots -226
- TEN: Titans are 5-3 on the road
- NE: Patriots have a plus-195 point differential
The model knows New England has won six straight home matchups against the Titans and the last two playoff meetings against Tennessee, both at Foxborough. The Patriots rolled to a 35-14 win on Jan. 13, 2018, and beat the Titans by a field goal on Jan. 10, 2004. New England is 7-2 against the spread in its last nine playoff games.
Running back Sony Michel leads the Patriots’ ground attack, rushing 247 times for 912 yards and seven touchdowns. He has three plays of 20-plus yards. In Week 16, Michel carried 21 times for 96 yards in a 24-17 victory over Buffalo, and then followed that up with 18 rushes for 74 yards and one touchdown against Miami.
But just because New England has experienced plenty of success the past two decades does not guarantee it will cover the Patriots vs. Titans spread on Saturday.
That’s because the Titans earned their second playoff berth under fourth-year general manager Jon Robinson and first under Vrabel. Tennessee scored 35 points against Houston last week, the fifth time the Titans scored at least 35 points this season. The only other time the Titans’ franchise achieved that feat was as the Houston Oilers in 1960 (five games) and in 1961 (seven games).
Quarterback Ryan Tannehill has been strong this season and, in 12 games, completed 201-of-286 passes for 2,742 yards and 22 touchdowns. Tannehill has thrown 12 touchdowns over the past five games alone, including three against the Saints and Raiders.
So who wins Titans vs. Patriots in the 2020 NFL Playoffs? And which side of the spread can you bank on in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Titans vs. Patriots spread to jump on Saturday, all from the advanced model that is up more than $7,000 on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.